Prognosis in Palliative Care Study (PiPS) predictor models were developed in 2011 to estimate the survival of terminal cancer patients in the United Kingdom. The aim of this study was to validate the PiPS model for terminal cancer patients in Korea, and evaluate its value in clinical practice.
This study included 202 advanced cancer patients who were admitted to the cancer hospital's palliative care ward from November 2011 to February 2013. On admission, physicians recorded the PiPS-A, PiPS-B, and doctor's survival estimates in inpatients.
The median survival across PiPS-A categories was 9, 28, and 33 days, and the median survival across PiPS-B was 9.5, 27, and 43 days. The median actual survival was 25 days; overall accuracy between the PiPS-A, PiPS-B, doctor's estimates of survival, and actual survival was 52.0%, 49.5%, and 46.5%, respectively. The PiPS-A and PiPS-B groups for survival in 'days' showed a sensitivity of 48.4% and 64.1%, and specificity of 87.7%, and 77.5%, respectively. The PiPS-A and PiPS-B groups for survival in 'weeks' showed a sensitivity of 59.2%, and 44.7%, and specificity of 61.6%, and 64.7%, respectively. The PiPS-A and PiPS-B 'months' group showed a sensitivity of 37.1% and 37.1%, and specificity of 74.9% and 78.4%, respectively. The 'weeks' and 'months' groups showed significantly prolonged survival rates than 'days' group did in both PiPS-A and PiPS-B, by the Kaplan-Meier method.
The PiPS predictor models effectively predicted the survival ≥14 days in terminal cancer patients, and were superior to doctor's estimates.
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Death from uterine cervical cancer could be preventable by an active participation of women at risk in a screening program such as the Papanicolaou test. In order to examine the presence of socioeconomic disparity in preventable deaths, we evaluated the time trends of cervical cancer mortality by socioeconomic status in Korean women.
We selected level of educational attainment and marital status as surrogate indices of socioeconomic status. Using death certificate data and Korean Population and Housing Census data from Korea National Statistical office, we calculated age-standardized yearly mortality rates from cervical cancer between 1998 and 2009 according to the level of education as well as marital status.
Cervical cancer mortality peaked in 2003 and then decreased gradually over time. Cervical cancer mortality was the highest in the group with the lowest level of educational attainment in all age groups and the gap between the lowest and the highest educational level has increased over time. Cervical cancer mortality was lower in married women than unmarried women in all age groups, and the degree of difference did not change over time.
In the Korean population, socioeconomic differential in cervical cancer mortality has persisted over time.
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Although cigarette smoking is a major modifiable risk factor for the occurrence of primary and secondary cardiovascular disease (CVD), not all survivors from CVD attacks can successfully stop smoking. However, little is known about the factors associated with the change in smoking behavior after CVD attack.
Study subjects included 16,807 participants (≥19 years) in the fourth Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys. From them, we selected 180 persons who had previous CVD diagnosis (angina pectoris, myocardial infarction, or stroke) and were smoking at the time of CVD diagnosis. Then, we categorized the 180 persons into two groups according to change in smoking status after the CVD: quitter and non-quitter. Logistic regression analysis was done to evaluate multivariable-adjusted association.
Even after CVD diagnosis, 63.60% continued to smoke. Fully-adjusted analysis revealed that regular drinking (odds ratio [OR], 4.44) and presence of smokers among family members (OR, 5.86) were significantly (P < 0.05) associated with greater risk of persistent smoking, whereas lower education level (OR, 0.20), larger amount of smoking (OR, 0.95), longer time since diagnosis (OR, 0.88), and diabetes (OR, 0.36) were significantly (P < 0.05) associated with decreased risk of persistent smoking after CVD.
A great proportion of CVD patients tended to continue smoking in the Korean population. In order to reduce smoking rates among CVD patients further, more aggressive efforts towards smoking cessation should be continuously made with consideration of individual socioeconomic, behavioral, and clinical characteristics of CVD patients.
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